Analytics case studyClosed alpha launch analysis

Closed Alpha Launch Analytics

I used SQL-led product analytics to identify why early players were dropping before their first PvP match and where the game experience needed tuning.

My role

Data analytics, BigQuery SQL, funnel diagnosis, retention analysis, insight storytelling

Project setup

A launch readout focused on early drop-off.

This project analyzed an anonymized closed alpha game launch across retention, onboarding, first PvP entry, match progression, and extraction behavior.

BigQuery SQL

Queried retention, onboarding, match, extraction, and session events.

Funnel + behavior

Mapped where players left and how skill, risk, and extraction shifted.

Slides + Granola

Turned the analysis into a concise readout with P0/P1 actions.

Metric snapshot

The early journey broke before the core loop.

Closed alpha
Signal

23%

Day 1 retention

7 points below the 30% launch target.

Signal

43%

First PvP start

57% of players dropped before the core loop.

Signal

-12%

Extraction step drop

Largest onboarding friction point.

Signal

11%

Fifth match start

Steep decline after early match exposure.

Early journey funnel

The core loop was leaking before match one.

BigQuery SQL

Install cohort

Baseline

100%

Drop before PvP

Onboarding loss

57%

First PvP start

Core loop entry

43%

Third match start

Early decline

18%

Fifth match start

Retention risk

11%

Diagnosis to decision

Fix the first PvP path before adding more content.

What mattered most

  • Day 1 retention was 23%, below the 30% launch target.
  • Only 43% of players reached their first PvP match.
  • The extraction step was the clearest onboarding friction point.

Recommended actions

  • P0: Reduce final extraction difficulty and simplify onboarding.
  • P0: Reinforce extraction incentives during matches.
  • P1: Add early rewards or streaks to support return visits.

Engagement signal

Players learned to fight, but not to extract.

Across the first ten matches, kills improved and deaths declined, while extraction rate trended down. That points to a risk/reward issue, not only an onboarding issue.

Activity in a match charts showing average kills, average deaths, and extraction rate across matches

Skill trend

Kills rise and deaths fall across early matches.

Risk signal

Extraction rate declines as confidence grows.

Product implication

Reward extraction more clearly mid-game.

Reflection

Good analytics points to a product decision.

This project helped me practice the analytics skill that matters most in product work: turning behavioral signals into a clear decision.

Privacy note

Anonymized company data.

Company and dataset details are anonymized; the page focuses on method, interpretation, and recommendations.